Nigeria’s Oil Output Just Fell Again And That Matters More Than the 37,000 Barrels

Nigeria’s crude oil production fell by 37,000 barrels per day in July, according to secondary-source data cited by OPEC, dropping from 1.583 million bpd in June to 1.546 million bpd. That represents a 2.3% month-on-month decline and interrupts the recovery Nigeria had recorded earlier in the year. At first glance, 37,000 barrels might not sound…

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Nigeria’s $50bn Deep Offshore Bet: Will Tax Breaks Finally Put the Oil Back Underwater?

President Bola Tinubu has signed a new Deep Offshore Oil and Gas Projects Incentives (Tax Remission) Order aimed at unlocking up to $50 billion in investment in Nigeria’s deepwater oil sector, beginning with the approximately $10 billion Bonga South West project. But the bigger question is not whether the incentives will attract investors. It is…

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Kaduna’s Power Crisis: What N456.5bn Debt Could Mean for Electricity Users

The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) has dissolved the board of Kaduna Electricity Distribution Plc (KAEDC) after the company accumulated about ₦456.5 billion in market obligations, including ₦415.5 billion owed to Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading and ₦41 billion owed to the Nigerian Independent System Operator. NERC has appointed an interim board and administrator for six…

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NGX Hits ₦160 Trillion: The Bigger Test Is Turning Market Growth Into Real Economic Growth

Nigeria’s stock market has reached a major milestone, with the Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX) market capitalization rising to about ₦160 trillion. President Bola Tinubu has welcomed the performance and backed an even bigger target of ₦230 trillion by the end of 2026. On the surface, this is a strong signal. The value of listed equities…

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Nigeria’s Private Sector Is Picking Up, But the Real Test Is Whether Growth Reaches Businesses

Nigeria’s latest private-sector numbers offer one of the clearest signs yet that businesses are beginning to regain confidence. Business activity reportedly reached a five-month high, while the Nigerian Exchange Group’s market value has climbed to about ₦160 trillion. But the more interesting question is whether this improvement is the beginning of a broader economic recovery…

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Naira’s Latest Dip Shows Why Nigeria Still Has Two Different FX Realities

The naira is facing renewed pressure in the parallel market, with the dollar selling for around ₦1,420, even as the Central Bank of Nigeria insists that the foreign exchange market is becoming more stable. The latest parallel-market rate is notably higher than the official rate, which has been trading around ₦1,362–₦1,369 per dollar. Recent market…

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Nigeria’s Gazelle 2 Deal Could Give the Federation More Room to Breathe, But It Is Not Free Money

Nigeria’s latest move to refinance Project Gazelle is less significant because of the headline $4.5 billion figure and more because of what the restructuring could change about the country’s access to cash. The National Economic Council has approved a new $4.5 billion financing arrangement, Project Gazelle 2, to refinance the outstanding balance of about $1.5…

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